Global sentiment suffered another knock as Germany introduced financial  restrictions to garner support for a vote on the Greek bailout.
Ahead of a parliamentary vote on the support package, the German  coalition agreed on a temporary ban on naked short selling – the process of  selling securities without borrowing or owning them – of some shares and credit  default swaps.
Russia’s rouble-denominated MICEX index fell 3 per cent on Wednesday as  fragile risk appetite suffered as the Euro fell.
The currency has now fallen to 1.24 against the dollar and 38.06 to the  rouble, while the oil price dropped below $70 a barrel on Wednesday before  recovering back above that mark.
“The Russian stock market is unfortunately  dependent on the oil price and it doesn’t look supportive at the moment thanks  to the sharp spike in risk aversion,” said Vladimir Kuznetsov, an equities  strategist at Unicredit.
Europe’s finances continue to look shaky, in particular Spain and  Portugal which saw ratings downgraded last month. Other countries are also  reportedly considering following in Germany’s footsteps and introducing a ban on  naked short selling while some, such as France, have already prohibited it.
The MICEX is now 13.7 per cent down from its highest close of the year on  April 15, and investors are anticipating a bounce following the  correction.
“We are due a trading bounce in oil, the euro and equities very  soon – and that should be quite sharp – but, beyond that volatility the outlook  over the summer is still very negative as the level of nervousness will remain  high,” Chris Weafer, chief strategist at Uralsib, wrote in a note to  investors.
While the news flow has centred around the restrictions on going short in  Germany, a growing contingent is eyeing up long positions in Russia thanks to  cheap valuations.
“Sooner or later this risk aversion will subside [but we  won’t get] another ‘lifetime opportunity’ to buy stocks as in March 2009,” said  Kuznetsov. “[But], the Russian market will be on track for recovery.
It  looked cheap before the correction and looks even cheaper now.”
Added to the risk aversion are  concerns about the recovery in developed  economies, and while this will hit the oil price, it is also encouraging funds  to look at emerging markets.
Meanwhile Rosneft bucked the trend gaining 3.8  per cent on Wednesday following comments by company chairman and Deputy Prime  Minister Igor Sechin about proposals for changes in the tax regime. 


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1 comment:
Hi,
please see the youtube video
Wall Street Dirty Secrets
out today May 21st, 2010 about Germany, Naked Short selling and Goldman Sachs
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5fMCX-4SvD0
Richard Keane
www.SiriusNews.com ;
also here is my movie web site www.StockShockmovie.com
follow the wall street stories at twitter. www.Twitter.com/StockShockmovie
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